Aerial view of a large circular blue hole in the coral reef just outside Twin Lagoon, Coron Island, Palawan

Best Time to Visit the Philippines: A Month-by-Month Weather Guide

There is no single Philippine dry season. Compare 30 years of PAGASA rainfall data and find the better weather window for each region.

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There is no single best month to visit the Philippines, and the reason is that the country has four different climates running at once. Pick the destination first, then the month. Do it the other way round and you will book February for Siargao, which is when the surf season is ending and the northeast monsoon is making the crossing miserable.

This is the version with the actual mechanism in it: what PAGASA classifies, what the monsoons do to which coast, and what the 2026 season is forecast to look like.

The two seasons, and why they are not enough

PAGASA divides the year into two: rainy from June to November, dry from December to May, with the dry season splitting into a cool dry stretch from December to February and a hot dry one from March to May.

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That framing is correct and it is close to useless for planning a specific trip, because mean annual rainfall in this country runs from 965 to 4,064 millimetres depending on where you stand. Baguio, eastern Samar and eastern Surigao are the wettest places in the archipelago. Applying one national calendar across that spread is how people end up disappointed.

The four climate types, which are the real answer

PAGASA classifies the country into four climate types. This is the framework worth knowing, because it explains every apparent contradiction in Philippine travel advice.

Type I. Two pronounced seasons: dry November to April, wet the rest, heaviest June to September. Ilocos, Central Luzon, Metro Manila, Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Zambales, Bataan, Occidental Mindoro, north-western Palawan, southern Antique and Iloilo, southern Negros.

Type II. No dry season at all, with a very pronounced maximum from December to February and a minimum March to May. Bicol, north-eastern Samar, Southern Leyte, Surigao del Norte and del Sur, Agusan, western Quezon and Polillo.

Type III. No very pronounced maximum, with a short dry season of one to three months, usually February to April. Aklan, Capiz, northern Antique and Iloilo, Negros Occidental, Siquijor, Oriental Mindoro, Romblon, Marinduque, the Masbate area, Zamboanga del Sur, Bukidnon, Misamis Oriental.

Type IV. Rainfall more or less evenly distributed all year. Northern Cebu, Bohol, northern Leyte, western Samar, Isabela, Quezon, the Davao provinces, eastern Agusan.

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Now the advice writes itself.

  • Palawan’s west coast is Type I. Dry November to April. That is exactly why Coron and El Nido peak then, and it is a real dry season rather than a marketing one.
  • Cebu, Bohol and Siquijor sit across Types III and IV. No long guaranteed dry window, and no long washout either. This is the honest reason Cebu works most of the year and never has a perfect month.
  • Boracay is in Aklan, Type III. A short dry season around February to April.
  • Siargao and Surigao are Type II, which means no dry season and their wettest months are December to February. Those are also the biggest surf months. The surf season and the wet season are the same season, and nobody tells you that.

The climate type list above is the standard classification as commonly reproduced rather than lifted from a PAGASA table, since the agency publishes its regional lists as an image. The four type definitions are PAGASA’s own.

Amihan and habagat, and which coast each one closes

Habagat is the southwest monsoon, which PAGASA associates with June, July and August. Amihan is the northeast monsoon, associated with December, January and February.

PAGASA declares the onset and end of each individually every year rather than working to fixed dates, and the declared dates move a lot:

  • Habagat began 30 May 2026. The rainy season was declared to have started on 4 June 2026.
  • Habagat ended 6 October 2025, and 5 October in 2022.
  • Amihan began 19 November 2024, and 20 October in 2023.

So habagat runs roughly late May to early October, and amihan has arrived anywhere between 20 October and 19 November across the last three declared years.

The part that decides whether your boat sails: habagat exposes the west-facing coasts, amihan exposes the east and north.

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August 2026 is a clean illustration. Separate waves of ferry cancellations hit on the 7th, 8th, 10th, 11th and 13th, taking out Caticlan to Panay and Guimaras, Iloilo to Bacolod, Batangas, both Mindoro routes, Bicol, Masbate, Marinduque, and Palawan at Puerto Princesa, Coron and El Nido, plus parts of Bohol and the Cebu to Maasin to Surigao route. At one point 463 passengers and cargo workers were stranded in ports. The Coast Guard issues the no-sail order; the ports authority reports it rather than causing it.

Come amihan season the exposure swaps to the other side of the country, which is why PAGASA’s amihan onset bulletins warn specifically about rough seas over the Luzon seaboards.

Typhoons

An average of 20 tropical cyclones enter the Philippine area of responsibility each year, of which eight or nine cross the country. The peak runs July through October, when close to 70 per cent of them develop.

That is the base rate. It is not a reason to avoid the second half of the year, because 20 storms across a country this large and this long means most places are unaffected most of the time. It is a reason to buy flexible tickets and leave a spare day at the end of any trip between July and October.

What 2026 is forecast to do

PAGASA’s seasonal outlook issued 26 August 2026, covering September through February:

  • A moderate to strong El Niño is present in the tropical Pacific, forecast to persist through the first half of 2027 and possibly to strengthen further before the end of 2026.
  • September: below-normal rainfall over Northern Luzon, near-normal elsewhere.
  • October: below-normal across Luzon, the Visayas and Caraga.
  • November: way below to below normal nationwide.
  • December: above-normal over most of Luzon and Western Visayas, below-normal across the rest of the Visayas and Mindanao.
  • January: way below to below normal nationwide.
  • Tropical cyclones: 2 to 3 in September, 1 to 2 each in October, November and December, 0 to 1 in January, a slim chance in February. Five to eight in total.

Against a 20-a-year average, five to eight across six months is a quiet outlook, and the drier picture through November suits almost every kind of trip.

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The caveat PAGASA states itself, and it matters: El Niño raises the odds of below-normal rainfall nationally, but above-normal rain can still fall over the western Philippines during habagat. A dry season forecast is a probability across months, not a promise about your week.

Month by month, by destination

December to April. The broadest easy window. Palawan is in its dry season and this is when Coron and El Nido are at their best. Boracay’s short dry season falls at the back of it. Cebu, Bohol and Siquijor are comfortable throughout.

February and March are the strongest compromise for a first trip with a flexible route. Palawan is dry, rainfall is lower around Mactan and Dumaguete, and the seas are generally settled.

May. Hot. Genuinely hot, and the last easy month before habagat. Good for the interior and the mountains, less good for long midday crossings.

June to early October. Habagat. Watch the west-facing coasts and build in slack around Palawan, Boracay and the Iloilo to Bacolod crossing. The eastern seaboard is often perfectly fine while the west is shut, which is a route-planning opportunity rather than a warning.

September and October 2026 specifically have no national holidays at all, which means no domestic travel surge on top of a drier-than-normal forecast. That combination is unusual and it is covered in what the ber months change for travellers.

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November to February. Amihan. Cooler, drier over most of the country, and rougher on the eastern and northern seaboards. Siargao’s surf season runs September to March, biggest in November and December, with Cloud 9 working best around a rising high tide and dangerous at low water over the shallow reef.

The short version

  • Choose the destination, then the month. The four climate types mean a national calendar is always wrong somewhere.
  • Palawan November to April. Siargao September to March. Cebu and Bohol most of the year.
  • Habagat closes the west. Amihan closes the east and north. Book the crossing accordingly.
  • July to October, leave a spare day. Not because it will rain, but because a Coast Guard suspension does not care about your connecting flight.
  • For late 2026, the outlook is dry and quiet. Five to eight cyclones through February and below-normal rain through November.

For what a trip actually costs once you have picked the month, see the trip budget calculators. For the sea legs, how ferry booking works and what happens when the boat does not sail.

What is the best month to visit the Philippines?

There is no single best month, because the country has four distinct climate types. February and March are the strongest compromise for a flexible first trip. Palawan is best November to April, Siargao September to March, and Cebu, Bohol and Siquijor work most of the year without ever having a perfect month.

What is the difference between amihan and habagat?

Habagat is the southwest monsoon, running roughly late May to early October, and it exposes the west-facing coasts. Amihan is the northeast monsoon, arriving between late October and mid-November, and it exposes the east and north. PAGASA declares the onset and end of each individually every year rather than using fixed dates.

How many typhoons hit the Philippines each year?

An average of 20 tropical cyclones enter the Philippine area of responsibility annually, of which eight or nine cross the country. Roughly 70 per cent develop between July and October. PAGASA’s outlook issued 26 August 2026 forecasts only five to eight from September 2026 through February 2027.

When is the surf season in Siargao?

September to March, biggest in November and December. Siargao sits in a climate type with no dry season and its wettest months are December to February, so the surf season and the wet season are the same season. Cloud 9 works best around a rising high tide and is dangerous at low water over the shallow reef.

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